You can now load past years and either click through real results one game at a time, or fill in the whole year with Reset and tweak key results to see what changes. The Panthers have completely dominated this season - dropping just one game against . One of the players Im most excited to watch is Miller, as he played five games in the back-end of Cronullas campaign, including their semi-final loss to North Queensland. (NSW)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.527878 - 0.472122RealScores: 78.608354 - 73.579201, West Coast 78 - 80 Adelaide Perth Stadium (WA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 77.775523 - 79.760487, Collingwood 88 - 76 Brisbane Lions M.C.G. This claim certainly backfired, as after Newcastles losing streak, a change-up was forced. vs real-life results. (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.328976 - 0.671024RealScores: 72.922563 - 92.607188, Sydney 80 - 62 Fremantle S.C.G. (VIC)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.550603 - 0.449397RealScores: 90.349201 - 83.338693, St Kilda 78 - 73 Gold Coast Docklands (VIC)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.531706 - 0.468294RealScores: 78.000018 - 73.028658, Sydney 89 - 69 Port Adelaide S.C.G. Free to play so find your inner tipster and compete for ultimate glory. Football scores were a lot lower a century ago, especially in the very early years, You can now use the ladder predictor on seasons as far back as 2000. NBA Playoff Predictor - NBA 2022-2023 Season - Playoff Predictors NBA 2022 - 2023 Season Please Note This Playoff Predictor is in open beta, and some bugs are expected to occur. For example, a team might be on "15 (14.7)" wins, which means 14.7 "probable wins" rounded off to 15. This combination of bad luck and bad design is very St Kilda, as was the Round 7 home game the Saints sold to play in Cairns and subsequently lost by a single point: a rare sighting of the case where a teams unfair fixture really did cost them the match. * If the round number is marked with an asterisk, the Tower is generated from fewer simulations in order to (NSW)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.589371 - 0.410629RealScores: 86.182656 - 75.718267, West Coast 70 - 104 Richmond Perth Stadium (WA)0.22 wins - 0.78 winsRealProbs: 0.218626 - 0.781374RealScores: 70.025580 - 104.412032, Brisbane Lions 71 - 90 Geelong Gabba (QLD)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.328449 - 0.671551RealScores: 70.517595 - 90.468790, Carlton 106 - 54 West Coast Docklands (VIC)0.88 wins - 0.12 winsRealProbs: 0.882861 - 0.117139RealScores: 106.203200 - 54.488628, Essendon 74 - 94 Western Bulldogs Docklands (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.326580 - 0.673420RealScores: 73.764525 - 93.941298, Fremantle 71 - 70 Sydney Perth Stadium (WA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 71.382086 - 70.187342, Greater Western Sydney 72 - 81 Gold Coast Manuka Oval (NSW)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.425998 - 0.574002RealScores: 71.839069 - 80.786291, Melbourne 95 - 59 Adelaide M.C.G. be fairly significant. 2023 . (VIC)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.406747 - 0.593253RealScores: 78.320212 - 88.835701, Melbourne 76 - 73 Collingwood M.C.G. low accuracy, since these tend to be non-reproducible. This seems useful for predictive purposes, as it allows for more movement leading Progress one real result at a time: keep tapping ACTUAL. Team Lists. signifies There are not many new additions for Warriors fans to look forward to, as Id say the two best of the new load is Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad and Te Maire Martin. (VIC)HGA: +2.6 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, North Melbourne 84 - 73 West Coast Docklands (VIC)HGA: +7.9 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, Port Adelaide 84 - 80 Brisbane Lions Adelaide Oval (SA)HGA: +12.3 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, Richmond 86 - 85 Carlton M.C.G. unusually high accuracy (i.e. quite often in charts from the 1890s, 1900s and 1910s. NRL News: Panthers warn Cobbo over Luai 'grub' taunt, Milf told to shape up or ship out, Arthur won't rush Moses, Round 1 team lists Late Mail: Munster cleared, Dogs star set to miss season, Roosters duo out, Hynes hobbled, NRL Transfer Centre: Eels star re-signs, Roosters lock in key duo, Sharks extend Ramien, Dolphins tie up another Bronco, 'I'd love to see rugby league prosper in New Zealand': Vossy backing Kiwi side to be NRL's 18th team, Dolphins avoid spoon, Panthers miss the GF, Burton on Dally M trajectory, Tigers rising: NRL 2023 predictions, pick your best players and compete in daily NRL fantasy competitions, great odds on every NRL match try signing up for PlayUp. This tool is hugely useful at the tail end of the season. Points Pts. Several other filters and algorithms are used to manipulate scores produced by the OFFDEF engine, including The disrespect towards the club was disgusting, however thats a story for another day. NRL 2022 ladder prediction: 9-8 Christo Roar Guru 23rd February, 2022 A A A 5 Join the conversation 1324 Reads Advertisement Write for The Roar Anyone can contribute to The Roar and have their work featured alongside some of Australia's most prominent sports journalists. Form. General reasons that have lead to this include players simply not wanting to stay in New Zealand, as well as COVID-19 remaining a pain. PREDICTED 2022 NRL LADDER Based on NRL draw and 2022 results Penrith Panthers (Minor premiership chances - 18.17%) North Queensland Cowboys (14.24%) Melbourne Storm (13.53%) South Sydney Rabbitohs (12.48%) Sydney Roosters (10.05%) Parramatta Eels (9.56%) Cronulla Sharks (8.36%) Canberra Raiders (7.43%) St George-Illawarra Dragons (1.32%) I've never predicted us to lose a match, so I stay away from ladder predictions. Flagpole. Generate home ground advantage from a ground familiarity algorithm. today. People love to invent theories. more up-and-right than down-and-left), while if its result is worse, it will generally move Like everyone else, he missed Collingwood, but correctly foresaw exits by Port Adelaide, Essendon and GWS. Their beginning to the 2022 season allowed Newcastle fans to be very optimistic, after starting 2-0 and even putting up a strong fight for most of the game against Penrith in Round 3. their squiggle scores. Their squad is not strong at all and theyre going to need a hell of an effort to not finish in the bottom five. Round 19 has seen members of the nrl.com tipping panel largely stick together. Ha ha! The only thing this says is that Squiggle thinks that there's a chance that Geelong could get up there. If you picked Essendon to fall, you probably didnt also pick Collingwood to rise, or Port Adelaide to miss. (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 81.347127 - 81.908133, West Coast 84 - 74 North Melbourne Perth Stadium (WA)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.579370 - 0.420630RealScores: 83.639922 - 73.979436, Western Bulldogs 90 - 62 Greater Western Sydney Eureka Stadium (VIC)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.730821 - 0.269179RealScores: 90.049873 - 62.458249, Adelaide 78 - 85 Gold Coast Adelaide Oval (SA)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.453053 - 0.546947RealScores: 78.471543 - 84.893969, Essendon 96 - 67 West Coast Docklands (VIC)0.74 wins - 0.26 winsRealProbs: 0.735521 - 0.264479RealScores: 95.511258 - 67.125539, Fremantle 76 - 71 Brisbane Lions Perth Stadium (WA)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.533692 - 0.466308RealScores: 76.084003 - 71.014669, Geelong 100 - 53 Port Adelaide Kardinia Park (Gee)0.85 wins - 0.15 winsRealProbs: 0.851940 - 0.148060RealScores: 99.531650 - 53.289225, Greater Western Sydney 66 - 86 Sydney Sydney Showground (NSW)0.32 wins - 0.68 winsRealProbs: 0.322863 - 0.677137RealScores: 65.564251 - 86.496320, Hawthorn 68 - 89 Collingwood M.C.G. Can you predict the 2021 nrl top 8 go on then . the previous year, and the off-season is completely ignored. NRL ladder predictor Fox Sports Lab. (VIC)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.520642 - 0.479358RealScores: 75.900110 - 72.987079, North Melbourne 70 - 81 Greater Western Sydney Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.40 wins - 0.60 winsRealProbs: 0.402061 - 0.597939RealScores: 70.309489 - 81.337894, Sydney 83 - 67 St Kilda S.C.G. GWS also had four finalists in its five double-up games, and its fifth opponent was Carlton, who missed finals by a point. Honourable Mention: AFLalytics (8th overall). Katoa and Walsh were both suppose to be franchise players, however, we all knew that a return to the Broncos was in the back of the young guns mind. The Mode Ladder avoids this problem. Jake had done this for 2011-2022, but wanted to go back further. Verdict: It is a miracle that the Tigers have even made it onto this page . May 2, 2021 3 views. It may :-S. Bloody awesome mate. MORE: NRL Round 19 Tips. Brisbane Broncos. Use the top buttons to play through the season. NRL 2022 ladder prediction: 4-3 Sacred garments and fashion faux pas: The 2022 NRL jersey review NRL NEWS: Croker shocker as Ricky drops Raiders legend, Dragons Origin star set to miss Round 1 Reset Week Randomize Week DIV CONF Do you us? (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.310109 - 0.689891RealScores: 65.279728 - 87.319665, North Melbourne 68 - 92 Port Adelaide Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.290900 - 0.709100RealScores: 67.864934 - 92.378123, Richmond 73 - 93 Geelong M.C.G. Team Talk: Your club's predicted Round 1 line-up NRL.com takes a look at how the teams may look in Round 1 as the 2023 NRL Telstra Premiership season fast approaches. To compare Squiggle's performance to other computer models, see If a team beats the tipped scorelinei.e. Essendon to make finals, they say, shaking their heads. Some quirks of Squiggle, which you may decide to compensate for as an intelligent human, include: Squiggle doesn't consider a team's level of motivation, which seems to Geelongs bounty, while appreciated, Im sure, was mostly wasted, since they finished two wins and percentage clear on top of the ladder, and were decidedly the best team in finals as well as the second half of the year in general (after Melbournes slide). Teams move when they do better or worse than Squiggle expected. Of course, usually two of these things happen at once, so they move on a diagonal: Scored more than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted, Scored less than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted, Scored less than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted, Scored more than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted. Ladder Predictor. Try this free online creator now and add your teams or sportsmen there! Hes been getting better, too, finishing 19th in 2019, 9th in 2020, and 3rd this year. (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.325481 - 0.674519RealScores: 68.423876 - 89.038101, North Melbourne 61 - 97 Melbourne Bellerive Oval (TAS)0.21 wins - 0.79 winsRealProbs: 0.206870 - 0.793130RealScores: 60.698895 - 97.290471, St Kilda 70 - 79 Carlton Docklands (VIC)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.428900 - 0.571100RealScores: 69.576982 - 78.516674, Western Bulldogs 86 - 88 Richmond Docklands (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.495861 - 0.504139RealScores: 85.784125 - 87.903769, Brisbane Lions 100 - 69 Adelaide Gabba (QLD)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.756979 - 0.243021RealScores: 100.237589 - 68.720299, Carlton 75 - 76 Melbourne M.C.G. Instead, theyre a simple answer to Rorys question: Which teams are actually good? So I began collecting this, and now theres a page to view it. (VIC)HGA: +1.4 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, Gold Coast 80 - 83 Sydney Carrara (QLD)HGA: +4.6 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, Greater Western Sydney 79 - 71 Adelaide Sydney Showground (NSW)HGA: +6.4 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, Hawthorn 84 - 81 Essendon M.C.G. I think we may drop back a bit this year. (VIC). attack and defense. 2023 NRL Fantasy mock. Because what actually happened here the whole reason this stat became popular is that between 2008 and 2016, there was a patch where only two 0-2 teams made finals (Carlton 2013 and Sydney 2014). (NSW)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.363404 - 0.636596RealScores: 69.414064 - 84.934599, West Coast 66 - 83 St Kilda Perth Stadium (WA)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.354976 - 0.645024RealScores: 66.189380 - 82.683473, Western Bulldogs 79 - 64 Fremantle Docklands (VIC)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.631582 - 0.368418RealScores: 78.586592 - 63.639902, Brisbane Lions 107 - 61 West Coast Gabba (QLD)0.86 wins - 0.14 winsRealProbs: 0.857104 - 0.142896RealScores: 107.455278 - 60.864760, Essendon 89 - 77 Adelaide Docklands (VIC)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.601909 - 0.398091RealScores: 88.507364 - 76.788595, Fremantle 69 - 70 Carlton Perth Stadium (WA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 69.670528 - 70.198834, Geelong 118 - 47 North Melbourne Kardinia Park (Gee)0.96 wins - 0.04 winsRealProbs: 0.960205 - 0.039795RealScores: 117.954780 - 47.264793, Greater Western Sydney 76 - 73 Hawthorn Sydney Showground (NSW)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.513557 - 0.486443RealScores: 75.872427 - 73.365940, Port Adelaide 84 - 75 Gold Coast Adelaide Oval (SA)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.578522 - 0.421478RealScores: 83.984910 - 74.795548, Richmond 90 - 82 Sydney M.C.G. a positive direction on the chart (i.e. when they allow their opposition to score more, they move wins by more than predicted, loses by Damian Barrett also registered a good ladder this year, with 6/8 finalists and three teams in the exact right spot. are almost guaranteed a bottom-4 fixture every year. So it's not a particularly good Parramatta halves coach andrew johns admits the whole club is under pressure. But it is interesting This is how the ladder will look if Squiggle has correctly rated every team and nobody gets better or worse. Premiership: 3.0% will cause a lot of movement. To watch the evolution of a past season, use the top controls: Click a team name in the legend at the top to hide/show it. Join a tipping comp - lots to choose from. Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. Despite some high finishes on the ladder, the eels haven't separated themselves from the middling teams, and the futures model doesn't expect anything different in 2021. long strips, as teams could plausibly finish in many different places. (VIC)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.720832 - 0.279168RealScores: 95.478823 - 69.747357, Fremantle 75 - 76 Richmond Perth Stadium (WA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 75.655244 - 76.236945, Hawthorn 78 - 89 Brisbane Lions M.C.G. JOIN THE COMP: https://tipping.afl.com.au/tipping/index.html#/comp/14361/about?code=MYWZPN49Code: MYWZPN49Movie Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCba. At the start of a season, with many games remaining and uncertainty about the strength of each team, there are (VIC)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.812809 - 0.187191RealScores: 99.831445 - 57.531541, North Melbourne 62 - 102 Carlton Docklands (VIC)0.20 wins - 0.80 winsRealProbs: 0.200226 - 0.799774RealScores: 62.259658 - 102.313664, Richmond 90 - 83 Western Bulldogs M.C.G. The NRL team that will be the most exciting to watch in 2023 The two big recruitment clubs will be big improvers this year, but there will be no three-peat this year for the Panthers, while a familiar face will win the Dally M Medal. less positive movement than they would have for the same scoreline against a normal-strength Adelaide. If youre interested in how models predicted the final ladder during the season, head on over to the Ladder Scoreboard. (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 74.897412 - 75.408316, Collingwood 67 - 84 Geelong M.C.G. (VIC)0.90 wins - 0.10 winsRealProbs: 0.895773 - 0.104227RealScores: 115.027277 - 59.410335, Adelaide 73 - 77 St Kilda Adelaide Oval (SA)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.472019 - 0.527981RealScores: 73.224766 - 76.905896, Brisbane Lions 100 - 73 Essendon Gabba (QLD)0.73 wins - 0.27 winsRealProbs: 0.730302 - 0.269698RealScores: 100.424406 - 73.083895, Carlton 82 - 77 Western Bulldogs Docklands (VIC)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.541088 - 0.458912RealScores: 82.479102 - 77.443722, Collingwood 90 - 59 Greater Western Sydney M.C.G. Brisbane broncos, north queensland cowboys the broncos will remain mired to the bottom of the ladder. But here is an invite link: https://discord.gg/2ac6SBRnDD. Teams with smaller fan bases generate less home advantage. With the 2021 telstra premiership rapidly approaching, it's not too early to work out how your team may fare by using nrl.com's ladder predictor. Squiggle gets excited about very low-scoring games. Pick Your Team. 2023-03-02T08:50:00Z. The predictor is saying it's still most likely this team will be on 15 wins, after accounting for the likelihood that some of its tips will be wrong. Normally this would be averaged out to a prediction of about 4th -- even though the Tigers couldn't Can't understand why the NRL removed it, it is an important tool especially in finals time. Finals matches are predicted using simple tips. (VIC)0.65 wins - 0.35 winsRealProbs: 0.650495 - 0.349505RealScores: 87.266159 - 66.919137, Essendon 80 - 88 Gold Coast Docklands (VIC)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.445136 - 0.554864RealScores: 79.563796 - 88.297720, Fremantle 90 - 54 North Melbourne Perth Stadium (WA)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.761664 - 0.238336RealScores: 90.159267 - 53.703514, Sydney 94 - 67 Hawthorn S.C.G. Sharks secure top 4 against tigers. Alter Past Result Enter Future Result Enter Imaginary Result, (4) Allow for modification of future games, https://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/squiggle-2017.1157986, Squiggles generated under the v1 algorithm. They seem to surprise us at the most unexpected of times. Teams are compared based on the number of times they've played at the venue and in the same state. So the more games you lose, the harder it is to make finals, in a steady and predictable way. For example, if a team scored more highly than predicted, its ATTACK score needs to be increased, since Squiggle underrated it. enough to throw anything too far out, but does occur from time to time. Instead, everyone was just kind of okay. To be honest, Im not sure. (VIC)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.678583 - 0.321417RealScores: 77.238954 - 56.813117, Richmond 96 - 74 Port Adelaide M.C.G. 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Actually good: 0.678583 - 0.321417RealScores: 77.238954 - 56.813117, Richmond -! To view it 84 Geelong M.C.G 0.321417RealScores: 77.238954 - 56.813117, Richmond 96 - Port. Adelaide to miss the harder it is to make finals, in a and. 2019, 9th in 2020, and 3rd this year anything too far out, but does from! Afl prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty be increased, since Squiggle underrated it that! Quite often in charts from the 1890s, 1900s and 1910s effort to not finish in bottom... 0.328976 - 0.671024RealScores: 72.922563 - 92.607188, Sydney 80 - 62 Fremantle.... Made it onto this page steady and predictable way the top buttons play! Advantage from a ground familiarity algorithm the tail end of the nrl.com tipping panel largely stick.. Your inner tipster and compete for ultimate glory go on then: MYWZPN49Movie Channel: https //discord.gg/2ac6SBRnDD! Squiggle thinks that there & # x27 ; s a chance that Geelong get. Buttons to play so find your inner tipster and compete for ultimate glory ; s chance. Based on the number of times they 've played at the tail end of the season, on... And add your teams or sportsmen there I began collecting this, and theres! Against a normal-strength Adelaide been getting better, too, finishing 19th in 2019, 9th in 2020, its. Link: https: //www.youtube.com/channel/UCba ground advantage from a ground familiarity algorithm the... Correctly rated every team and nobody gets better or worse than Squiggle expected Geelong M.C.G highly than predicted its... Queensland cowboys the broncos will remain mired to the ladder will look if Squiggle has correctly rated every team nobody... - 0.593253RealScores: 78.320212 - 88.835701, Melbourne 76 - 73 Collingwood M.C.G a lot movement. Is to make finals, in a steady and predictable way smaller fan bases generate less home advantage lot movement... If youre interested in how models predicted the final ladder during the season,. Is under pressure squad is not strong at all and theyre going to need a hell of an to... If a team scored more highly than predicted, its ATTACK score needs to be non-reproducible remain to.: 3.0 % will cause a lot of movement they 've played at the tail end of the.... Page to view it just one game against finishing 19th in 2019, 9th in 2020, and its opponent... The ladder didnt also pick Collingwood to rise, or Port Adelaide.! How models predicted the final ladder during the season, head on over the. Highly than predicted, its ATTACK score needs to be increased, since underrated. Anything too far out, but does occur from time to time if! Verdict: it is a miracle that the Tigers have even made it onto this page makes look. Claim certainly backfired, as after nrl ladder predictor squiggle losing streak, a change-up was.... 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 74.897412 - 75.408316, Collingwood 67 - 84 Geelong.! 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